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The View From The Tower

05 июн 2018 в 11:30:00 Просмотров: 374

Overnight Snapshot


The Day Ahead

0900hrs UK         EU EuroZone Services PMI (est 53.9 vs previous 53.9)
0900hrs UK         EU EuroZone Composite PMI (est 54.1 vs previous 54.1)
0930hrs UK         UK Services PMI (est 53.02 vs previous 52.8)
0930hrs UK         UK Composite PMI (est 53.38 vs previous 53.2)
1000hrs UK         EU EuroZone Retail Sales (est 0.51%mom / 1.77%yoy vs previous 0.1% / 0.8%)
1030hrs UK         EU The ECB’s Ewald Nowotny speaks at Slovak Central Bank Conference
1100hrs UK         UK Bank of England’s Jon Cunliffe speaks at Futures Industry Association Expo in London
1445hrs UK         US Services PMI (est 55.72 vs previous 55.7)
1500hrs UK         US ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (est 57.7 vs previous 56.8)
1830hrs UK         EU The ECB’s Jens Weidmann speaks in Brussels
From the US we have earnings from Ambarella


The Day So Far….

STOCKS: Wall Street’s leading indices rose yesterday, led by Technology names as the Nasdaq100 pushed on 59.645 points to close at 7143.57, within 0.6% of the all time high set in March. Shares in Apple hit an all time high as investors look for news from the developers conference (market cap now $942.87bln!!) whilst news of a Microsoft acquisition pushed their share price forwards, helping the S&P Tech Index post a record high. Optimism from the upbeat employment numbers from Friday continued as traders looked away from fears of trade wars. The Dow forged ahead with gains of 178.48 points, closing at 24813.69, but still well shy of the highs from the end of January. The S&P500 closed 12.25 points higher at 2746.87, but also still well short of the peaks from January. Small caps continue their good fortune with the Russell 2000 closing just a couple of points below the all time high set in the morning.
Asia-Pacific stocks have operated in mixed fashion, struggling for clear direction in Tuesday's session with questions over US trade policy nullifying the optimism surrounding the economic health of the US.  The Nikkei 225 lodged marginal gains as the telecoms sector led support, while the energy sector weighed. The Hang Seng & Shanghai Composite opened softly and operated around neutral levels over the early session, before moving positive in the post lunch session, while Australia's ASX 200 underperformed, falling 30 points with BHP Billiton contributing the most to the fall. There was little reaction to the RBA keeping rates on hold at 1.5%.  US index futures have posted marginal losses, with Mini S&P 1 point lower, and Mini Dows 10 points in the red.
US TREASURYS: US Tsy trade has been extremely muted thus far, with T-Notes operating in a 3-tick range. The cash space has seen yields tick ever so slightly lower, but moves have been limited. - It is going to be a case of watching for headlines with prosaic US data releases due through the week & the Fed in the blackout period ahead of the Jun 13 FOMC MonPol decision. - The Eurodollar strip is virtually unchanged.
OIL: The major oil benchmarks managed to record marginal gains with questions over the OPEC+ output agreement and worries over Venezuelan supply dominating the headlines. West Texas futures trading 31c higher at $65.05 and Brent futures up 23c at $75.52
GOLD: The yellow metal stuck to a tight $2 range sub-$1300/oz, with front month futures trading between $1290 and $1292 on low volumes
FOREX: Softer than exp. GDP partials weighed on AUD, as AUDUSD registered session lows of 0.7630, with support coming in the form of the 55-DMA at 0.7616. AUDUSD last at 0.7637. NZDUSD moved to session lows of 0.7026 after the NZ Tsy's monthly economic indicators suggested that NZ's Q1 growth may miss the levels forecast in the budget, although the Tsy did suggest that economic growth will pick up later in 2018. NZDUSD's range remains tight, last 0.7030. - USDJPY staged a test of 110.00 in early dealing, but failed; the level is expected to provide key resistance ahead of the 110.21 200-DMA.

Please contact ITI Capital London trading desk on [email protected] for further information or updates


For information on contact Elio Manca

For institutional sales & trading please contact Steve Farrell

For all dealing enquiries please contact our Trading Desk

Сегодня читают

Вчера The View From The TowerВ пятницу основные американские индексы откатились после недели восстановления позиций на фоне волны продаж в октябре, поскольку цены на нефть продолжили снижение, и возникли новые свидетельства замедления экономики Китая.
Вчера Развивающиеся рынки остаются под давлениемГлобальный индекс MSCI World за прошедшую неделю вырос на 1,5%. Лучшую динамику продолжили демонстрировать такие сектора как S&P 500 healthcare (+4%), S&P 500 biopharma (+3,7%) и потребительский сектор (+3%).
Вчера Давление на рубль будет краткосрочным. Фундаментальный анализ монетарной политики США и РФМы считаем, что сейчас на ситуацию влияют факторы, которые носят кратковременный и сезонный характер. Главный фактор, способствующий ослаблению волатильности, связан с перспективой подписания новых соглашений между США и Китаем в конце месяца.
Вчера Портфель американских акций «Оптимальный»Потенциальная доходность 23%
Вчера Цена нефти Brent упала ниже 70 долл./баррИндекс МосБиржи в пятницу снизился на 1,44% на фоне падения нефтяных котировок и негативной динамики международных рынков. Индекс РТС потерял 2,93% под давлением снижения рубля к доллару.

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